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EP 759 | AIRED 09/22/2025
September 22, 2025 - As the summer salmon season wraps up, global wild salmon supply will remain tight as both Alaska and Russia are headed for record low odd-numbered year harvests.
Starting with Alaska, although preliminary harvests of just over 186 million fish are nearly double last year’s even-numbered year total, 2025 may still be on track to be the lowest odd-numbered year harvest since 2011 when just 177 million salmon were harvested. With the sockeye fishery mostly complete and pinks winding down, Alaska’s total salmon harvest this year may not even break 200 million fish.
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Pink salmon on average make up about 65% of Russia’s total salmon harvest, and at 222,000 tonnes so far this year, the 2025 pink harvest is down more than 50% from 2023 and well below forecast. On a brighter side, chum landings are up 32% year-over-year at 53,600 tonnes, sockeye is up nearly 20% at 42,700 tonnes, and coho is up almost 20% at 9,500 tonnes.
And finally, turning to Fraser River Sockeye in British Columbia Canada as it made headlines all summer. The 2025 Fraser River sockeye run came in at over 8.7 million fish – nearly triple the preseason forecast of 2.9 million, though still slightly below the 30-year average for this cycle line. Despite the strong return, there were no significant commercial fishing opportunities, as Fisheries and Oceans Canada faced heavy criticism for maintaining limited licences even in the face of a bumper sockeye run.
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Our recommendation is that buyers should secure their pink salmon volumes now. Although this year’s all species harvest out of Alaska and Russia alone (estimated at almost 680,000 MT) already exceeds last year's global salmon production (of 527,990 MT), supply will remain tight. Russia is reportedly consuming up to 90% of its production domestically, effectively removing Russia as a low-cost export source. Also, as chum salmon has become a cost effective substitute in roe and H&G programs, after this summer season, look out for the fall chum salmon season.
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