Loading

100%
Sustainability Rating

Click to Learn More
3-Minute Market Insight

EP 759 | AIRED 09/22/2025

End of Summer Season Update: Tight Global Supply Amid Record Low Odd-Year Harvests

September 22, 2025 - As the summer salmon season wraps up, global wild salmon supply will remain tight as both Alaska and Russia are headed for record low odd-numbered year harvests.

SINBAD
Starting with Alaska, although preliminary harvests of just over 186 million fish are nearly double last year’s even-numbered year total, 2025 may still be on track to be the lowest odd-numbered year harvest since 2011 when just 177 million salmon were harvested. With the sockeye fishery mostly complete and pinks winding down, Alaska’s total salmon harvest this year may not even break 200 million fish.

Sockeye came in strong again with over 52 million fish, nearly realizing its forecast. Pink harvests reached about 114 million – still short of projections and roughly 24% below 2023. Chum production totaled 18 million, slightly above last year, while coho has been standout with 2.3 million fish landed – well ahead of 2024 and still ongoing. Chinook, meanwhile, finished early at around 170,000 fish.

End of Summer Global Salmon Update

Over to Russia, although preliminary harvests of just over 328,000 metric tonnes are about 40% higher than last year’s even-numbered year catch, it's still 46% lower than 2023’s record high harvest of 608,000 metric tonnes. In fact, 2025 could rank as the lowest odd-numbered year salmon harvest since 2005 when just 266,375 metric tonnes was harvested.

Advertise Here: advertising@tradexfoods.com

Pink salmon on average make up about 65% of Russia’s total salmon harvest, and at 222,000 tonnes so far this year, the 2025 pink harvest is down more than 50% from 2023 and well below forecast. On a brighter side, chum landings are up 32% year-over-year at 53,600 tonnes, sockeye is up nearly 20% at 42,700 tonnes, and coho is up almost 20% at 9,500 tonnes.

And finally, turning to Fraser River Sockeye in British Columbia Canada as it made headlines all summer. The 2025 Fraser River sockeye run came in at over 8.7 million fish – nearly triple the preseason forecast of 2.9 million, though still slightly below the 30-year average for this cycle line. Despite the strong return, there were no significant commercial fishing opportunities, as Fisheries and Oceans Canada faced heavy criticism for maintaining limited licences even in the face of a bumper sockeye run.

End of Summer Global Salmon Update

Our recommendation is that buyers should secure their pink salmon volumes now. Although this year’s all species harvest out of Alaska and Russia alone (estimated at almost 680,000 MT) already exceeds last year's global salmon production (of 527,990 MT), supply will remain tight. Russia is reportedly consuming up to 90% of its production domestically, effectively removing Russia as a low-cost export source. Also, as chum salmon has become a cost effective substitute in roe and H&G programs, after this summer season, look out for the fall chum salmon season.

--- If you’re not already, be sure to subscribe to our 3-Minute Market Insight for seafood updates and insights delivered right to your inbox.

Subscribe to our 3-Minute Market Insight

Recent Episodes: