This drop is largely expected due to the two-year cycle of Wild Pacific Salmon where even-numbered years are typically lower due to reduced pink salmon returns.

Sockeye is projected to rebound strongly, up roughly 26% from 2024 and close to its 5-year average.

Chum salmon harvests remain above long-term norms despite easing from recent highs.



Pink salmon volumes are set to drop sharply from 2025 and remain below 2024, reflecting the typical even-year cycle rather than a structural issue.

Coho salmon: modest year-over-year improvement, but still tracking below historical averages, indicating continued supply tightness.

Chinook salmon: slight rebound from 2025, but overall volumes remain structurally constrained and well below long-term norms.

Global wild Pacific salmon supply is shaping up for a significant shortfall in 2026. Russia is projecting a total harvest of 204,000 to 260,000 metric tonnes - potentially more than 200,000 metric tonnes below its five-year average.



In Alaska, a forecasted harvest of 125.5 million salmon equates to roughly 250,000 metric tonnes, placing it approximately 70,000 metric tonnes below its five-year average.

Our recommendation is to connect with your Tradex Foods Business Representative to make a plan to navigate this year’s salmon market, and to keep tuned into all salmon updates as we prepare for the upcoming summer salmon season.

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